Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Player-Prop Picks, Predictions & Odds

Aug 20, 2024; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves designated hitter Marcell Ozuna (20) reacts after hitting a home run against the Philadelphia Phillies during the sixth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY SportsHolding onto the final NL Wild Card, the Braves go for their fourth straight win on WednesdayThe Phillies have lost four straight road gamesBelow, see the Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves predictions, player-prop picks, and best odds

The Atlanta Braves (67-58, 33-26 home) host the Philadelphia Phillies (73-52, 31-29 away) on Wednesday night in the second of a three-game series at Truist Park at 7:20 pm ET.

Atlanta was able to hand Zack Wheeler a rare loss last night in a 3-1 victory behind a 10-K performance from starter Reynaldo Lopez.

The job doesn’t get much easier for the Braves hitters on Wednesday as Philly sends Aaron Nola to the mound opposite Atlanta’s Max Fried in a game that most sportsbooks list as a pick’em.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Picks & Predictions

Phillies first 5 innings moneyline (-110) at bet365Fried under 17.5 outs (+130) at DraftKingsOver 7.5 runs (-115) at BetMGM

The theme running through today’s Phillies vs Braves picks is that I have no confidence in Max Fried. The two-time All-Star, who was injured during the All-Star weekend, hasn’t been the same since returning to the mound. In three starts, Fried has allowed 13 runs (12 earned) in just 13.2 innings allowing 16 hits and 11 walks in the process (1.975 WHIP).

While one of those starts came in the rarified air of Coors Field, the other two were at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park against the Giants and at home against the light-hitting Marlins.

Making matters worse for Fried, he’s been absolutely torched by the current Phillies lineup. In 229 total ABs, they are hitting .319 with a .909 OPS against the 6’4 lefty. Nick Castellanos is 11-for-18 (.611) with a home run and three RBI while Trea Turner is 17-for-43 (.395) with three homers and six RBI.

Fried’s struggles against the Phillies continued this season. In two 2024 starts, he’s allowed eight earned runs on 13 hits and four walks over just 6.2 innings.

Fried has also been much worse at home this season than on the road, sporting a 4.27 ERA in Atlanta and a 3.23 ERA everywhere else.

Nola hasn’t exactly been lights-out against Atlanta this year (nine earned runs on 16 hits and a walk over 10.1 innings) but his career numbers against the Braves are somewhat encouraging; in 279 at-bats, the current Atlanta hitters have just a .229 average and .690 OPS against the 31-year-old righty.

Nola was also solid last time out, pitching 6.2 shutout innings in a 3-2 win over the Nationals, allowing seven hits and two walks.

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Best Phillies vs Braves Odds

As mentioned, most books have this as a pick’em with both teams at -110. But there are some slight variations in the moneyline price. Bettors can get the Phillies at -108 to win at DraftKings and the Braves to win at -108 at FanDuel. FanDuel also has the best price on Atlanta’s +1.5 runline at -176, while the best odds on the Phillies to win by multiple runs is at BetMGM (+165). Every sportsbook other than DraftKings lists the total at 7.5, while DK has it at 8.0 with the juice shaded to the under.

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Aaron Nola vs Max Fried

NolaVSFried